Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.249017 0.292834 0.344962 0.412378 0.498486 0.606522 0.755175
2024-12-29 0.187963 0.242210 0.315548 0.425453 0.592637 0.849870 1.304203
2025-01-05 0.147172 0.201410 0.281377 0.414633 0.646659 1.070600 2.018336
2025-01-12 0.124706 0.178931 0.264646 0.420832 0.727592 1.388827 3.293802
2025-01-19 0.107095 0.159185 0.246006 0.415766 0.784207 1.704126 5.117618
2025-01-26 0.096165 0.147615 0.237677 0.426053 0.877804 2.197593 8.854754
2025-02-02 0.088403 0.139733 0.233748 0.443421 0.998729 2.917745 17.116600
2025-02-09 0.081459 0.131987 0.228193 0.455229 1.113978 3.802087 35.205358
2025-02-16 0.075924 0.125856 0.224431 0.469975 1.250169 5.056094 87.662543
2025-02-23 0.070697 0.119490 0.218859 0.478446 1.374760 6.592166 266.558979
2025-03-02 0.065859 0.113191 0.212227 0.482105 1.487965 8.466553 1218.164087
2025-03-09 0.061319 0.106895 0.204491 0.480415 1.582027 10.645010 15874.728163
2025-03-16 0.056641 0.099887 0.194268 0.469402 1.634482 12.845805 NaN
2025-03-23 0.053984 0.096775 0.192731 0.485199 1.838232 18.682470 NaN
2025-03-30 0.050145 0.090738 0.183191 0.472401 1.883519 22.706223 NaN
2025-04-06 0.047690 0.087413 0.179859 0.479800 2.060430 32.615861 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044892 0.083046 0.173234 0.473780 2.152281 42.836675 NaN
2025-04-20 0.043116 0.080765 0.171670 0.486028 2.393509 69.018962 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041789 0.079352 0.172186 0.506742 2.741851 132.251909 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040314 0.077444 0.171063 0.520854 3.071750 264.724141 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039048 0.075899 0.170723 0.538506 3.486106 676.576119 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037644 0.073889 0.168765 0.548663 3.859180 2037.246958 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036185 0.071616 0.165723 0.553052 4.190520 8531.214638 NaN